List of predictions
Cantonal taxation of second properties
Results generated and predicted on 17 September 2025
Mandatory Referendum
Participation
45.7%
Result
Uncertain
- Result probability
- Popular approval PI–90%
- Canton approval PI–90%
- 0.539
- [41.1, 60.9]
- [3, 18]
YES: 50.5%
NO: 49.5%
Agreeing cantons: 17.0
Rejecting cantons: 6.0
They talk about us
- 20 Minutes: Ce physicien fribourgeois prédit le refus de l'initiative SSR (2026-03-06)
- La Liberté: L'ordinateur, ce si bon politologue (2026-03-06)
- Cominmag: Initiative « 200 francs » : quand l’algorithme annonce une défaite plus nette que les enquêtes (2026-03-02)
- persoenlich.com: Halbierungsinitiative: Gradiom prognostiziert klares Nein (2026-03-01)
- La Liberté: Ces votations si prévisible (2022-02-21)
Disclaimer
All results are obtained by machine learning and have no official authenticity
Source of data
- Swiss Federal Statistical Office: interactive tables, maps and dashboard
- Swiss cantons: GE, NE and BS turnout rates
- Swissvotes: dataset (CC BY 4.0)
- University of Zurich: fög vote monitor
- Media: gfs.bern and Tamedia surveys
The above listed data are subject to the rights of use of their respective owners
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