Popular vote on 29 November 2026
Results generated and predicted on 29 October 2026
VAT increase in favour of the old-age insurance
Mandatory Referendum
Participation
51.1%
Result
Likely rejected
- Result reliability
- People Yes PI–90%
- Cantons Yes PI–90%
- 0.944
- [38.2, 50.9]
- [0, 13]
Cantons Yes:
0.5
Cantons No:
22.5
Fireworks Initiative
Popular Initiative
Participation
51.1%
Result
Uncertain
- Result reliability
- People Yes PI–90%
- Cantons Yes PI–90%
- 0.521
- [46.3, 59.5]
- [3.5, 21.5]
Cantons Yes:
12.0
Cantons No:
11.0
Initiative on the taxation of married couples
Popular Initiative
Participation
51.1%
Result
Possibly rejected
- Result reliability
- People Yes PI–90%
- Cantons Yes PI–90%
- 0.866
- [39.8, 52]
- [0, 18.5]
Cantons Yes:
4.5
Cantons No:
18.5
Amendment to the War Materiel Act
Optional Referendum
Participation
51.2%
Result
Uncertain
- Result reliability
- People Yes PI–90%
- 0.502
- [44.5, 55.6]
They talk about us
- Ce Romand prédit les résultats des votations avec 93% de fiabilité, watson (2026-06-08)
- Presque un sans-faute pour ce physicien fribourgeois, La Liberté (2026-03-12)
- Un physicien fribourgeois lit dans les urnes avec 95% de fiabilité, 24 heures (2026-03-10)
- Mehr Präzision wäre eher Glückssache, persoenlich.com (2026-03-10)
- Initiative « 200 francs »: quand l’algorithme avait vu plus juste que les sondages!, Cominmag (2026-03-09)
- Ce physicien fribourgeois prédit le refus de l'initiative SSR, 20 Minutes (2026-03-06)
- Que vont voter les Suisses dimanche? Ce physicien fribourgeois le sait grâce à son modèle de prédiction, La Liberté (2026-03-06)
- Initiative « 200 francs » : quand l’algorithme annonce une défaite plus nette que les enquêtes, Cominmag (2026-03-02)
- Halbierungsinitiative: Gradiom prognostiziert klares Nein, persoenlich.com (2026-03-01)
- Ces votations si prévisible, La Liberté (2022-02-21)
Source of data
- Swiss Federal Statistical Office: interactive tables, maps and dashboard
- Swiss cantons: GE, NE and BS turnout rates
- Swissvotes: dataset (CC BY 4.0)
- University of Zurich: fög vote monitor
- Media: gfs.bern and Tamedia surveys
The above listed data are subject to the rights of use of their respective owners.
Disclaimer
All results are obtained by machine learning and have no official authenticity.
Sponsor us
You find these forecasts interesting and want to help keeping them up to date? Online donations with TWINT are easy and warmly appreciated!
Sponsor with TWINT