Popular vote on 14 June 2026
Results generated and predicted on 29 April 2026
«Sustainability initiative» (Limiting the national population)
Popular Initiative
Participation
43.4%
Result
Likely rejected
- Result probability
- Popular approval PI–90%
- Canton approval PI–90%
- 0.932
- [28.7, 51.6]
- [0, 17]
Agreeing cantons: 0.0
Rejecting cantons: 23.0
Amendment to the Civilian Service Act
Optional Referendum
Participation
44.9%
Result
Uncertain
- Result probability
- Popular approval PI–90%
- 0.542
- [38.4, 62.8]
They talk about us
- Presque un sans-faute pour ce physicien fribourgeois, La Liberté (2026-03-12)
- Un physicien fribourgeois lit dans les urnes avec 95% de fiabilité, 24 heures (2026-03-10)
- Mehr Präzision wäre eher Glückssache, persoenlich.com (2026-03-10)
- Initiative « 200 francs »: quand l’algorithme avait vu plus juste que les sondages!, Cominmag (2026-03-09)
- Ce physicien fribourgeois prédit le refus de l'initiative SSR, 20 Minutes (2026-03-06)
- Que vont voter les Suisses dimanche? Ce physicien fribourgeois le sait grâce à son modèle de prédiction, La Liberté (2026-03-06)
- Initiative « 200 francs » : quand l’algorithme annonce une défaite plus nette que les enquêtes, Cominmag (2026-03-02)
- Halbierungsinitiative: Gradiom prognostiziert klares Nein, persoenlich.com (2026-03-01)
- Ces votations si prévisible, La Liberté (2022-02-21)
Source of data
- Swiss Federal Statistical Office: interactive tables, maps and dashboard
- Swiss cantons: GE, NE and BS turnout rates
- Swissvotes: dataset (CC BY 4.0)
- University of Zurich: fög vote monitor
- Media: gfs.bern and Tamedia surveys
The above listed data are subject to the rights of use of their respective owners.
Disclaimer
All results are obtained by machine learning and have no official authenticity.
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