Popular vote on 8 March 2026
Results generated and predicted on 25 February 2026
Initiative «Cash is Freedom»
Popular Initiative
Participation
56.5%
Result
Uncertain
- Result probability
- Popular approval PI–90%
- Canton approval PI–90%
- 0.602
- [41.2, 57.7]
- [0, 22.5]
Agreeing cantons: 10.5
Rejecting cantons: 12.5
Decree on the Swiss currency and cash supply
Direct Counter-Proposal
Participation
56.2%
Result
Accepted
- Result probability
- Popular approval PI–90%
- Canton approval PI–90%
- 0.999
- [60.9, 77.4]
- [23, 23]
Agreeing cantons: 23.0
Rejecting cantons: 0.0
Initiative «200 francs is enough!» (fees for public broadcasting)
Popular Initiative
Participation
56.1%
Result
Rejected
- Result probability
- Popular approval PI–90%
- Canton approval PI–90%
- 0.999
- [29.4, 43.7]
- [0, 0.5]
Agreeing cantons: 0.0
Rejecting cantons: 23.0
Climate Fund Initiative
Popular Initiative
Participation
55.2%
Result
Rejected
- Result probability
- Popular approval PI–90%
- Canton approval PI–90%
- 0.999
- [23.1, 33.7]
- [0, 0]
Agreeing cantons: 0.0
Rejecting cantons: 23.0
Act on Individual Taxation
Optional Referendum
Participation
56%
Result
Uncertain
- Result probability
- Popular approval PI–90%
- 0.936
- [39.3, 50.5]
They talk about us
- Presque un sans-faute pour ce physicien fribourgeois, La Liberté (2026-03-12)
- Un physicien fribourgeois lit dans les urnes avec 95% de fiabilité, 24 heures (2026-03-10)
- Mehr Präzision wäre eher Glückssache, persoenlich.com (2026-03-10)
- Initiative « 200 francs »: quand l’algorithme avait vu plus juste que les sondages!, Cominmag (2026-03-09)
- Ce physicien fribourgeois prédit le refus de l'initiative SSR, 20 Minutes (2026-03-06)
- Que vont voter les Suisses dimanche? Ce physicien fribourgeois le sait grâce à son modèle de prédiction, La Liberté (2026-03-06)
- Initiative « 200 francs » : quand l’algorithme annonce une défaite plus nette que les enquêtes, Cominmag (2026-03-02)
- Halbierungsinitiative: Gradiom prognostiziert klares Nein, persoenlich.com (2026-03-01)
- Ces votations si prévisible, La Liberté (2022-02-21)
Source of data
- Swiss Federal Statistical Office: interactive tables, maps and dashboard
- Swiss cantons: GE, NE and BS turnout rates
- Swissvotes: dataset (CC BY 4.0)
- University of Zurich: fög vote monitor
- Media: gfs.bern and Tamedia surveys
The above listed data are subject to the rights of use of their respective owners
Disclaimer
All results are obtained by machine learning and have no official authenticity
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